Subscribe
Home > Blogs & Communities > ScienceInsider > Swine Flu's Rate of Spread, Revisited  

World’s Most Overhyped Science Headline, Part 2 | Main | H1N1 Rocks Japan, But WHO Says It's Still No Pandemic

May 16, 2009

Swine Flu's Rate of Spread, Revisited

A team of European researchers has analyzed the outbreak of the novel H1N1 virus in Mexico and calculates twice as much spread per infected person as an earlier report in ScienceExpress. The new study, published in Eurosurveillance, concludes that each infected person infects between 2.2 and 3.1 others, a “reproduction ratio” in keeping with those of other pandemic influenza viruses. The earlier paper in ScienceExpress, which factored in the likelihood that there was much underreporting in the official case numbers, calculated a reproduction ratio of only 1.4 to 1.6.

—Jon Cohen

Leave a comment

Thanks for your feedback. Please keep it polite and to the point.